7 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1392 59 Strength Momentum |
1185 65.7(3) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09/01/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.001 | 1262 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1540 | 63% | |
09/03/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.001 | 1001 | W 5- 1 | Expected (0) | 1386 | 88% | |
09/10/15 | Los Alamos !! | 0.003 | 1278 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1576 | 66% | |
09/11/15 | at Farmington ?? | 0.006 | 1220 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1218 | 67% | |
09/12/15 | at Albuquerque Academy ? | 0.007 | 1268 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1242 | 62% | |
09/15/15 | Los Lunas | 0.006 | 1093 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1535 | 82% | |
09/17/15 | at Cleveland | 0.017 | 1384 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1350 | 48% | |
09/19/15 | at Bosque | 0.020 | 1185 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1401 | 71% | |
09/25/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.004 | 918 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1687 | 90% | |
09/26/15 | Farmington | 0.062 | 1220 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1344 | 71% | |
09/28/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.010 | 669 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1539 | 98% | |
10/03/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.010 | 739 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1597 | 96% | |
10/06/15 | Bloomfield | 0.026 | 918 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1663 | 92% | |
10/07/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.211 | 1273 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1421 | 67% | |
10/10/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.038 | 739 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1574 | 97% | |
10/13/15 | Kirtland Central ! | 0.105 | 1050 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1620 | 85% | |
10/16/15 | Bosque | 0.410 | 1185 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1428 | 75% | |
10/17/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.425 | 1050 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1333 | 82% | |
10/23/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.081 | 669 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1507 | 97% | |
10/24/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.540 | 1273 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1495 | 62% | |
11/05/15 | * Monte del Sol | 0.507 | 752 | W 6- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1365 | 97% | |
11/06/15 | * Sandia Prep | 0.995 | 1273 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1371 | 64% | |
11/07/15 | * St. Michael's | 0.997 | 1262 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1366 | 65% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hope Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1185, while
Hope Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 1400
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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