2015 Season results for Hope Christian (GV,1-4A)

7   1   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1392     59
Strength     Momentum
1185   65.7(3)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  20W   3L   0T 
District  12W   0L   0T 
Expected  21:   0+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
09/01/15 at St. Michael's 0.0011262W 5- 1 Expected (+3)1540 63%
09/03/15 Piedra Vista 0.0011001W 5- 1 Expected (0)1386 88%
09/10/15 Los Alamos !! 0.0031278W 5- 0 Expected (+4)1576 66%
09/11/15 at Farmington ?? 0.0061220L 0- 2 Worse (-3)1218 67%
09/12/15 at Albuquerque Academy ? 0.0071268L 2- 4 Worse (-3)1242 62%
09/15/15 Los Lunas 0.0061093W 6- 0 Expected (+3)1535 82%
09/17/15 at Cleveland 0.0171384L 1- 2 Expected (-1)1350 48%
09/19/15 at Bosque 0.0201185W 3- 1 Expected (0)1401 71%
09/25/15 at Bloomfield 0.004918W 10- 0 Expected (+6)1687 90%
09/26/15 Farmington 0.0621220W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1344 71%
09/28/15 Navajo Prep 0.010669W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1539 98%
10/03/15 at Rehoboth Christian 0.010739W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1597 96%
10/06/15 Bloomfield 0.026918W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1663 92%
10/07/15 Sandia Prep 0.2111273W 4- 2 Expected (+1)1421 67%
10/10/15 Rehoboth Christian 0.038739W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1574 97%
10/13/15 Kirtland Central ! 0.1051050W 8- 0 Expected (+4)1620 85%
10/16/15 Bosque 0.4101185W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1428 75%
10/17/15 at Kirtland Central 0.4251050W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1333 82%
10/23/15 at Navajo Prep 0.081669W 9- 0 Expected (+2)1507 97%
10/24/15 at Sandia Prep 0.5401273W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1495 62%
11/05/15 * Monte del Sol 0.507752W 6- 0 Expected (-1)1365 97%
11/06/15 * Sandia Prep 0.9951273W 1- 0 Expected (0)1371 64%
11/07/15 * St. Michael's 0.9971262W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1366 65%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hope Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1185, while
Hope Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 1400
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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